Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.986891 1.126082 1.277666 1.454985 1.656714 1.879082 2.142824
2025-02-23 0.747392 0.931567 1.150081 1.428383 1.773442 2.187339 2.721822
2025-03-02 0.617946 0.819398 1.073177 1.416211 1.867881 2.442563 3.230037
2025-03-09 0.534757 0.745926 1.025309 1.421781 1.970078 2.702084 3.754873
2025-03-16 0.471704 0.687567 0.985574 1.426716 2.063323 2.949399 4.278349
2025-03-23 0.424279 0.643309 0.957435 1.440360 2.164328 3.210264 4.838903
2025-03-30 0.373710 0.587499 0.905006 1.410347 2.194817 3.367491 5.257213
2025-04-06 0.331569 0.539037 0.857303 1.380398 2.219118 3.513134 5.665720
2025-04-13 0.292125 0.490109 0.803201 1.333548 2.210078 3.603068 5.990333
2025-04-20 0.283069 0.489093 0.824276 1.408253 2.401108 4.023127 6.881137
2025-04-27 0.272942 0.484962 0.839320 1.473431 2.580858 4.438055 7.797761
2025-05-04 0.262235 0.478539 0.849475 1.530402 2.750438 4.848210 8.739589
2025-05-11 0.246555 0.462201 0.841724 1.556566 2.870853 5.188234 9.597065
2025-05-18 0.224140 0.431426 0.805632 1.528466 2.891493 5.354764 10.158680
2025-05-25 0.206373 0.407434 0.779376 1.515444 2.937534 5.569005 10.824327
2025-06-01 0.192965 0.390362 0.764191 1.521402 3.018828 5.853252 11.644397
2025-06-08 0.180763 0.374406 0.749540 1.526680 3.098535 6.139766 12.491835
2025-06-15 0.170737 0.361808 0.740177 1.541274 3.197288 6.469978 13.452644
2025-06-22 0.156637 0.339433 0.709274 1.509172 3.198335 6.606411 14.030921
2025-06-29 0.143893 0.318677 0.679780 1.477140 3.196223 6.735253 14.602732
2025-07-06 0.130651 0.295578 0.643359 1.427031 3.151209 6.771312 14.979845
2025-07-13 0.130062 0.300268 0.666231 1.506933 3.392584 7.426506 16.746994
2025-07-20 0.128446 0.302477 0.683852 1.576644 3.617240 8.063228 18.526380